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标题: 告急: 塔州将有10万人得猪流感 [打印本页]

作者: Caoyan 时间: 2009-7-21 23:51
标题: 告急: 塔州将有10万人得猪流感
http://www.themercury.com.au/art ... _tasmania-news.html
DAVID KILLICK

July 21, 2009 05:30pm

TASMANIA is bracing for an explosion in swine flu cases with as many as 100,000 people expected to catch the virus within weeks.
Health authorities said today that as many as 40 could die from the illness and 1000 may need hospital care.

The surge in cases is expected to place unprecedented strain on the state's health system and is likely to see the cancellation of elective surgery.

Health Minister Lara Giddings stopped short of saying the state's health system was up to the crisis.

Acting Director of Public Health Chrissie Pickin said the latest modelling had painted a grim picture, although it was unclear over what time period the crisis would unfold.

"Our predictions at the moment, we think up to 100,000 Tasmanians will get the swine flu over the next few weeks," she said.

"That will lead to an additional thousand hospital admissions over the next few weeks. You can see that is going to put pressure on the health services.

"We are predicting that we think we might see between 20 and 40 deaths. Our main focus is to try to prevent those deaths among Tasmanians in the next six to eight weeks or so."

She said there was no longer any point in testing people displaying flu-like symptoms as almost all had swine flu.

The state has recorded 386 cases of the disease, although the true figure is much higher and will remain unknown as routine testing has been suspended. So far 26 people have been hospitalise and one person has died.

Dr Pickin urged people not to go to the doctor or to a hospital if they thought they had the flu and the symptoms were mild as they are in most cases.

"From today we'll be advising that we only test those in hospital, health care workers or those where we need to find out in an outbreak if this is H1N1 influenza or something else.

"For everybody else we're advising that unless you're in a high risk group or unless you have a severe illness ... then we don't think you need testing and we would advise that you don't need to see a doctor, you can stay at home and look after yourself.

"Obviously if you're in a high risk group of you develop more severe symptoms, then we really want you to seek medical attention early.

"The health service is going to be under pressure - if you don't need to see a doctor then we're advising you don't, so those who do need to see a doctor can get in to see them quickly.

Incident Controller Dr David Boadle said the combination of a surge in cases and the absence of health workers who will be infected would be a double whammy for the health system.

"Our health services see flu every year and it is disruptive. This year it is going to be more about the numbers so there is going to be additional pressures.

"Each of the health services is at the moment considering what responses they can make and what services they can safely curtail or defer to care for people with the flu.

"Elective surgery comes under the microscope every year so it's logical we'll see some cancellations and deferrals of elective surgery.

"Illness among health care workers is going to place another stress on the system and our facilities are looking at that issue in making their plans.

Health Minister Lara Giddings said the department was doing everything it could to prepare for the onslaught but made no promises.

"We will do everything to try to ensure our hospital system does cope through the worst of every pandemic, but we're also monitoring the pressure as it grows on our hospital system and trying to adapt to that pressure as it happens," she said.

"It does mean that we will have to make decisions at some stage around elective surgery for instance and perhaps other services we normally provide that are not urgent critical services.

"We do expect the swine flu virus to hit more Tasmanians that the normal flu virus and of course that has ramifications across the entire community.

"We will see more people not turning up to work because of swine flu, students not being able to go to school, teachers not being able to teach and unfortunately some of our health workers not being able to provide the normal health care they provide on a daily basis as well.

"It is a serious problem and that's why we continue to talk about it."

作者: csc40 时间: 2009-7-21 23:56
如果是真的話。每5個人裏面就會有1個感染。::zt12::

作者: Caoyan 时间: 2009-7-21 23:56
虽然我没感觉到危险
但是大家都注意一点吧
这条新闻怪吓人的

作者: 会飞的猪 时间: 2009-7-21 23:57
以后出门戴口罩吧都

作者: Caoyan 时间: 2009-7-21 23:57
白人对流感抵抗力很差,难道这里白人比较纯种的原因.

作者: tata 时间: 2009-7-21 23:59
同学们出门带口罩，常洗手漱口~~多锻炼身体，每天一个苹果~心情舒畅O(∩_∩)O~

作者: rambler 时间: 2009-7-22 00:03
MEL都没有10W人感染。。。TAS就算流行了，也不会超过几千个。猪流感现在已经没有啥威胁了

作者: 会飞的猪 时间: 2009-7-22 00:04

白人对流感抵抗力很差,难道这里白人比较纯种的原因.
Caoyan 发表于 2009-7-21 23:57

这下好了，帮这里的local 证明了他们是Pure European了;P

不过话说回来了，在街上戴着口罩。。。样子好奇怪啊，明天计划去逛街呢，唉，纠结啊，到底要不要带上口罩呢？

作者: leilei 时间: 2009-7-22 00:05
完了。。我现在感冒中。。。又处于高危人群。。。。。

作者: rambler 时间: 2009-7-22 00:09

完了。。我现在感冒中。。。又处于高危人群。。。。。
leilei 发表于 2009-7-22 00:05

感冒好就有抗体了

作者: 宝宝的猫爪子 时间: 2009-7-22 00:10
昨天从city回来之后就感冒了~~~
额~
一会去查查症状和猪流感一样不~

作者: leilei 时间: 2009-7-22 00:11

感冒好就有抗体了
rambler 发表于 2009-7-22 00:09

。。。那如果我现在得的就是swine flue怎么办。。。。

作者: rambler 时间: 2009-7-22 00:14
12# leilei

吃点感冒药，多喝水，注意别着凉，如果出身汗就更靠谱了，猪流感大多都是靠自愈的

作者: rambler 时间: 2009-7-22 00:16
在MEL，你得了猪流感去看GP，他们就问你一个问题，身上还有其他毛病不，没有的话就可以回家了，多喝水，注意休息。因为猪流感一点都不可怕，只是感冒引起的并发症可能危险。这是所有流感的共性，只是以前不太会去统计一个普通流感的死亡人数。

作者: VovO 时间: 2009-7-22 00:37
话说上课的时候那一片一片的咳嗽声…… - -|| 老师说啥都听不到了……

作者: fandy 时间: 2009-7-22 00:43
如同国人　小感冒一样．．．．　不碍不碍．．．．．

作者: SimonZhang 时间: 2009-7-22 00:49
...... 塔州人口有10w么。。。。。。说的这么夸张。。。。。。不是说连世界卫生组织都开始不统计人数了么，说是患者基本上一周就可以痊愈，有些身体素质好的人不用服药也可以痊愈

作者: 神枪手 时间: 2009-7-22 01:06

完了。。我现在感冒中。。。又处于高危人群。。。。。
leilei 发表于 2009-7-22 00:05

你怎么每次都是等到特殊情况时才感冒的啊？
这次该不会比上次还严重吧？

作者: leilei 时间: 2009-7-22 09:28

你怎么每次都是等到特殊情况时才感冒的啊？
这次该不会比上次还严重吧？
神枪手发表于 2009-7-22 01:06

严重多了。。。。发高烧。。卧床不起。。。::zt67::
不过现在烧退了，还在咳嗽。

作者: 浪沧孤客 时间: 2009-7-22 09:35
猪流感是不是猪感冒？

作者: Nick 时间: 2009-7-22 21:21
大家都还是都小心些预防吧，
多喝水多运动，增强自身抵抗力。。。

作者: kson922 时间: 2009-7-23 13:00
同志们，主要问题是怕病毒再次变异。所以卫生组织还很重视。

不排除短期变种病毒出现的可能阿

作者: Will 时间: 2009-7-23 22:37
这个数字有点夸张啊~

作者: ___ 时间: 2009-7-26 22:19
这么严重阿。。。。。-_-！

作者: 01101109 时间: 2009-7-26 22:27
是的，我就不治自愈了。

作者: sebyu 时间: 2009-7-27 17:27
曲解新闻了，possibility是个屁，我们出车祸的可能性都比得这个什么屁流感的高，空难的可能性都高于死于这个屁流感，大家不要怕，我得过。::zt63::

作者: nan8121 时间: 2009-7-27 17:31

曲解新闻了，possibility是个屁，我们出车祸的可能性都比得这个什么屁流感的高，空难的可能性都高于死于这个屁流感，大家不要怕，我得过。::zt63::
sebyu 发表于 2009-7-27 17:27

你得过？？？::zt45::

作者: Branded_S 时间: 2009-7-27 23:02
感冒中...-.-ll

作者: business_man917 时间: 2009-7-28 10:35
留学生都是青壮年，处于抵抗力强盛的年龄，应该Ok

作者: didinono 时间: 2009-7-28 21:28
take care .....

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